About: Social distancing merely stabilized COVID‐19 in the US

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About: Social distancing merely stabilized COVID‐19 in the US Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	Social distancing merely stabilized COVID‐19 in the US
Creator	David, \| Li, Dongmei Deng, \| Hill, Elaine Wu, \| Anand, Ajay Ryan, Sean Sun, Ziteng Wagner, Aaron Jayadev Acharya, \| Matteson, S Sourbh Bhadane, \| Victor Hernandez Martinez, \|
Source	Medline; PMC
abstract	Social distancing measures have been imposed across the US in order to stem the spread of COVID‐19. We quantify the reduction in doubling rate, by state, that is associated with this intervention. Using the earlier of K‐12 school closures and restaurant closures, by state, to define the start of the intervention, and considering daily confirmed cases through April 23rd, 2020, we find that social distancing is associated with a statistically‐significant (p < 0.01) reduction in the doubling rate for all states except for Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota, when controlling for false discovery, with the doubling rate averaged across the states falling from 0.302 (0.285, 0.320) days(‐1) to 0.010 (‐0.007, 0.028) days(‐1). However, we do not find that social distancing has made the spread subcritical. Instead, social distancing has merely stabilized the spread of the disease. We provide an illustration of our findings for each state, including estimates of the effective reproduction number, R, both with and without social distancing. We also discuss the policy implications of our findings.
has issue date	2020-07-13(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1002/sta4.302
bibo:pmid	32837718
has license	no-cc
sha1sum (hex)	ed1d3a013649db6c49cd50a8a5fd8a2dffe1a196
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1002/sta4.302
resource representing a document's title	Social distancing merely stabilized COVID‐19 in the US
has PubMed Central identifier	PMC7404665
has PubMed identifier	32837718
schema:publication	Stat (Int Stat Inst)
resource representing a document's body	covid:ed1d3a013649db6c49cd50a8a5fd8a2dffe1a196#body_text
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