About: SARS-CoV-2 Impact on Elective Orthopaedic Surgery: Implications for Post-Pandemic Recovery

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An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	SARS-CoV-2 Impact on Elective Orthopaedic Surgery: Implications for Post-Pandemic Recovery
Creator	Aggarwal, Shruti Jain, Amit Jain, Punya
Source	Medline; PMC
abstract	The aim of our study was to explore the impact of elective-surgery deferment on the United States health-care system and subsequent recovery after COVID-19 containment. Using an orthopaedic elective surgery model, we aimed to answer the following: (1) What is the expected recovery time until the health-care system is back to nearly full capacity for performing elective surgery? (2) What will be the expected backlog of elective surgery over time? (3) How should health care change to address the backlog? METHODS: A Monte Carlo stochastic simulation-based analysis was performed to forecast the post-pandemic volume of elective, inpatient total joint arthroplasty and spinal fusion surgical cases. The cumulative backlog was calculated and analyzed. We tested model assumptions with sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: Assuming that elective orthopaedic surgery resumes in June 2020, it will take 7, 12, and 16 months—in optimistic, ambivalent, and pessimistic scenarios, respectively—until the health-care system can perform 90% of the expected pre-pandemic forecasted volume of surgery. In the optimistic scenario, there will be a cumulative backlog of >1 million surgical cases at 2 years after the end of elective-surgery deferment. CONCLUSIONS: The deferment of elective surgical cases during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic will have a lasting impact on the United States health-care system. As part of disaster mitigation, it is critical to start planning for recovery now.
has issue date	2020-05-12(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.2106/jbjs.20.00602
bibo:pmid	32404721
has license	no-cc
sha1sum (hex)	e9c7800770cbc80a4b139ac9ce2b22b983dd486f
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.2106/jbjs.20.00602
resource representing a document's title	SARS-CoV-2 Impact on Elective Orthopaedic Surgery: Implications for Post-Pandemic Recovery
has PubMed Central identifier	PMC7396217
has PubMed identifier	32404721
schema:publication	J Bone Joint Surg Am
resource representing a document's body	covid:e9c7800770cbc80a4b139ac9ce2b22b983dd486f#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'elective surgery' named entity 'Elective' named entity 'Orthopaedic Surgery' named entity 'SURGERY' named entity 'CHANGE' named entity 'answer' named entity 'time' named entity 'full' named entity 'aim' named entity 'elective surgery' named entity 'elective surgery' named entity 'SARS-CoV-2' named entity 'normal distribution' named entity 'spinal fusion' named entity 'health-care' named entity 'elective surgery' named entity 'Gompertz function' named entity 'orthopaedic care' named entity 'Diagnosis Related Group' named entity 'THA' named entity 'evidence-based' named entity 'United States' named entity 'total hip arthroplasty' named entity 'NIS' named entity 'SARS-CoV-2 pandemic' named entity 'Stata' named entity 'elective surgery' named entity 'perioperative' named entity 'health care in the United States' named entity 'THA' named entity 'linear regression model' named entity 'health-care' named entity 'health-care' named entity 'elective procedures' named entity 'ICD-9' named entity 'elective surgery' named entity 'arthroplasty' named entity 'comorbidities' named entity '0.98' named entity 'orthopaedic surgery' named entity 'May 2022' named entity 'Medicare' named entity 'orthopaedic surgery' named entity 'surgical equipment' named entity 'telemedicine' named entity 'severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2' named entity 'Fixed capital' named entity 'orthopaedic care' named entity 'United States' named entity 'AHRQ' named entity 'health care' named entity 'total knee arthroplasty' named entity 'database' named entity 'United States' named entity 'elective surgical' named entity 'March 2020' named entity 'TKA' named entity 'SARS-CoV-2' named entity 'International Classification of Diseases' named entity 'Monte Carlo simulation' named entity 'April 2020' named entity 'time series' named entity 'historical data' named entity 'healthcare workers' named entity 'personal protective equipment' named entity 'health-care' named entity 'quantitative analysis' named entity 'orthopaedic surgery' named entity 'academic medical center' named entity 'tumors' named entity 'health-care' named entity 'disaster recovery' named entity 'orthopaedic surgery' named entity 'health-care' named entity 'Monte Carlo analysis' named entity 'Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality' named entity 'elective surgery' named entity 'production function' named entity 'elective surgical'

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