About: When will the battle against novel coronavirus end in Wuhan: a SEIR modeling analysis

Facets (new session)
Description
Metadata
Settings
- owl:sameAs
- Inference Rule:

About: When will the battle against novel coronavirus end in Wuhan: a SEIR modeling analysis Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	When will the battle against novel coronavirus end in Wuhan: a SEIR modeling analysis
Creator	Chen, Jing Dong, Lanlan Lu, ※ Wan, Kangkang Wu, Zhicheng Zhang, Lianglu
Source	MedRxiv
abstract	Recent outbreak of 2019-nCoV in Wuhan raised serious public health concerns. By February 15, 2020 in Wuhan, the total number of confirmed infection cases has reached 37,914, and the number of deaths has reached 1123, accounting for 56.9% of the total confirmed cases and 73.7% of the total deaths in China. People are eager to know when the epidemic will be completely controlled and when people's work and life will be on the right track. In this study we analyzed the epidemic dynamics and trend of 2019-nCoV in Wuhan by using the data after the closure of Wuhan city till February 12, 2020 based on the SEIR modeling method. The optimal parameters were estimated as R0=1.44 (interquartile range: 1.40-1.47)，TI=14 (interquartile range: 14-14) and TE=3.0 (interquartile range: 2.8-3.1). Based on these parameters, the number of infected individuals in Wuhan city may reach the peak around February 19 at about 45,000 people. Once entering March, the epidemic would gradually decline, and end around the late March. It is worth noting that the above prediction is based on the assumption that the number of susceptible population N = 200,000 will not increase. If the epidemic situation is not properly controlled, the peak of infected number can be further increased and the peak time will be a little postponed. It was expected that the epidemic would subside in early March, and disappear gradually towards the late March.
has issue date	2020-02-18(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.02.16.20023804
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	e62e453735dc2022f4d81aa9b22769de30d0bb90
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.16.20023804
resource representing a document's title	When will the battle against novel coronavirus end in Wuhan: a SEIR modeling analysis
resource representing a document's body	covid:e62e453735dc2022f4d81aa9b22769de30d0bb90#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'ANALYSIS' named entity 'Recent' named entity 'coronavirus' named entity 'NOVEL CORONAVIRUS' named entity '2019-NCOV' named entity 'RANGE' named entity '1123' named entity 'DYNAMICS' named entity 'ACCOUNTING' named entity 'WUHAN' named entity 'COMPLETELY CONTROLLED' named entity 'EAGER' named entity 'TRACK' named entity 'FEBRUARY' named entity 'ANALYZED' named entity 'EPIDEMIC' named entity 'CASES' named entity 'DATA' named entity 'STUDY' named entity 'RIGHT' named entity 'INFECTION' named entity 'WUHAN' named entity 'CITY' named entity 'MODELING' named entity 'END' named entity 'RAISED' named entity 'PUBLIC HEALTH' named entity 'LIFE' named entity 'MODELING' named entity 'TREND' named entity 'OPTIMAL' named entity 'METHOD' named entity 'WORK' named entity 'PEOPLE' named entity 'PARAMETERS' named entity 'DEATHS' named entity '3D3' named entity 'HEALTH CONCERNS' named entity 'TOTAL NUMBER' named entity 'CHINA' named entity 'CONFIRMED' named entity 'OUTBREAK' named entity '27S' named entity 'TILL' named entity 'NUMBER OF' named entity 'TOTAL' named entity 'CLOSURE' named entity 'BATTLE' named entity 'RECENT' named entity 'USING' named entity 'ESTIMATED' named entity 'NUMBER OF DEATHS' named entity 'BASED' named entity 'reached' named entity 'interquartile range' named entity 'estimated' named entity 'Wuhan' named entity '2019-nCoV' named entity 'interquartile range' named entity 'Wuhan' named entity 'Wuhan' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'January 23' named entity 'RMSE' named entity 'China' named entity 'China' named entity 'pneumonia' named entity 'epidemic model' named entity 'coronavirus' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'infection' named entity '2019-nCoV' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'February 13' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'pneumonia' named entity 'Interquartile range' named entity 'public transportation' named entity 'Wuhan' named entity 'ordinary differential equation'

Faceted Search & Find service v1.13.91 as of Mar 24 2020

Alternative Linked Data Documents: Sponger | ODE Content Formats:

RDF

ODATA

Microdata

About

OpenLink Virtuoso version 07.20.3229 as of Jul 10 2020, on Linux (x86_64-pc-linux-gnu), Single-Server Edition (94 GB total memory)
Data on this page belongs to its respective rights holders.
Virtuoso Faceted Browser Copyright © 2009-2024 OpenLink Software