About: Pandemic risk: how large are the expected losses?

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An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	Pandemic risk: how large are the expected losses?
Creator	Jamison, Dean Fan, Victoria Summers, Lawrence
topic	covid:e596bfbd1ba590f07fd2514040538bb5fb9ed166#this
source	Medline; PMC
abstract	There is an unmet need for greater investment in preparedness against major epidemics and pandemics. The arguments in favour of such investment have been largely based on estimates of the losses in national incomes that might occur as the result of a major epidemic or pandemic. Recently, we extended the estimate to include the valuation of the lives lost as a result of pandemic-related increases in mortality. This produced markedly higher estimates of the full value of loss that might occur as the result of a future pandemic. We parametrized an exceedance probability function for a global influenza pandemic and estimated that the expected number of influenza-pandemic-related deaths is about 720 000 per year. We calculated that the expected annual losses from pandemic risk to be about 500 billion United States dollars – or 0.6% of global income – per year. This estimate falls within – but towards the lower end of – the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s estimates of the value of the losses from global warming, which range from 0.2% to 2% of global income. The estimated percentage of annual national income represented by the expected value of losses varied by country income grouping: from a little over 0.3% in high-income countries to 1.6% in lower-middle-income countries. Most of the losses from influenza pandemics come from rare, severe events.
has issue date	2018-02-01(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.2471/blt.17.199588
bibo:pmid	29403116
has license	cc-by
sha1sum (hex)	e596bfbd1ba590f07fd2514040538bb5fb9ed166
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.2471/blt.17.199588
resource representing a document's title	Pandemic risk: how large are the expected losses?
has PubMed Central identifier	PMC5791779
has PubMed identifier	29403116
schema:publication	Bull World Health Organ
resource representing a document's body	covid:e596bfbd1ba590f07fd2514040538bb5fb9ed166#body_text
is http://vocab.deri.ie/void#inDataset of	https://covidontheweb.inria.fr:4443/about/id/http/ns.inria.fr/covid19/e596bfbd1ba590f07fd2514040538bb5fb9ed166
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