About: Seasonal and interannual risks of dengue introduction from South-East Asia into China, 2005-2015

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About: Seasonal and interannual risks of dengue introduction from South-East Asia into China, 2005-2015 Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	Seasonal and interannual risks of dengue introduction from South-East Asia into China, 2005-2015
Creator	Mu, Di Huang, Zhuojie Khan, Kamran Lai, Shengjie Bogoch, Isaac Yang, Juan Li, Yu Kraemer, Moritz Yin, Wenwu Chen, Qiulan Choisy, Marc Findlater, Aidan He, Yangni Kain, Dylain Wesolowski, Amy Johansson, Michael Ma, Johansson Na, Wardrop Tatem, Andrew Van Panhuis, Willem Wardrop, Nicola Wg, Panhuis Yuid, Hongjie
Source	Medline; PMC
abstract	Due to worldwide increased human mobility, air-transportation data and mathematical models have been widely used to measure risks of global dispersal of pathogens. However, the seasonal and interannual risks of pathogens importation and onward transmission from endemic countries have rarely been quantified and validated. We constructed a modelling framework, integrating air travel, epidemiological, demographical, entomological and meteorological data, to measure the seasonal probability of dengue introduction from endemic countries. This framework has been applied retrospectively to elucidate spatiotemporal patterns and increasing seasonal risk of dengue importation from South-East Asia into China via air travel in multiple populations, Chinese travelers and local residents, over a decade of 2005–15. We found that the volume of airline travelers from South-East Asia into China has quadrupled from 2005 to 2015 with Chinese travelers increased rapidly. Following the growth of air traffic, the probability of dengue importation from South-East Asia into China has increased dramatically from 2005 to 2015. This study also revealed seasonal asymmetries of transmission routes: Sri Lanka and Maldives have emerged as origins; neglected cities at central and coastal China have been increasingly vulnerable to dengue importation and onward transmission. Compared to the monthly occurrence of dengue reported in China, our model performed robustly for importation and onward transmission risk estimates. The approach and evidence could facilitate to understand and mitigate the changing seasonal threat of arbovirus from endemic regions.
has issue date	2018-11-09(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1371/journal.pntd.0006743
bibo:pmid	30412575
has license	cc-by
sha1sum (hex)	e2500283a378472050282da03b7d5e9612e4e5ec
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0006743
resource representing a document's title	Seasonal and interannual risks of dengue introduction from South-East Asia into China, 2005-2015
has PubMed Central identifier	PMC6248995
has PubMed identifier	30412575
schema:publication	PLoS Negl Trop Dis
resource representing a document's body	covid:e2500283a378472050282da03b7d5e9612e4e5ec#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'air travel' named entity 'data' named entity 'pathogens' named entity 'China' named entity 'CHINA' named entity 'AIRLINE' named entity 'NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES' named entity 'TRAVELERS' covid:arg/e2500283a378472050282da03b7d5e9612e4e5ec named entity 'EAST ASIA' named entity 'INTEGRATING' named entity 'RAPIDLY' named entity 'FOUND' named entity 'GLOBAL' named entity 'HUMAN MOBILITY' named entity '2015' named entity 'REVEALED' named entity 'DENGUE' named entity 'EPIDEMIOLOGICAL' named entity 'DUE TO' named entity 'TRANSPORTATION' named entity 'INCREASING' named entity '2015' named entity 'SEASONAL' named entity 'INTRODUCTION' named entity 'RISKS' named entity 'SOUTH' named entity 'TRANSMISSION' named entity 'DISPERSAL' named entity 'FOLLOWING' named entity 'MATHEMATICAL MODELS' named entity 'EAST ASIA' named entity 'HAVE' named entity 'CHINA' named entity 'DATA' named entity 'AIR TRAFFIC' named entity 'INCREASED' named entity 'LOCAL' named entity 'AIR' named entity 'WORLDWIDE' named entity 'VOLUME' named entity 'HTTPS' named entity 'RARELY' named entity 'MULTIPLE' named entity 'SOUTH' named entity 'CONSTRUCTED' named entity 'USED' named entity 'IMPORTATION' named entity 'RISKS' named entity 'PATTERNS' named entity 'CHINESE' named entity 'GROWTH' named entity 'ENDEMIC' named entity 'APPLIED' named entity 'AIR TRAVEL' named entity 'PROBABILITY OF' named entity 'STUDY' named entity 'INTRODUCTION' named entity 'DENGUE'

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