About: Little Risk of the COVID-19 Resurgence on Students in China (outside Hubei) Caused by School Reopening

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An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	Little Risk of the COVID-19 Resurgence on Students in China (outside Hubei) Caused by School Reopening
Creator	Fu, Xinmiao Long, Cheng Zeng, Tieyong
Source	MedRxiv
abstract	Objective: School reopening has not yet started in China where the COVID-19 outbreak has reached ending stage, largely due to a great concern about COVID-19 infections on students. We attempted to quantitatively evaluate the risk of COVID-19 infections on students caused by school reopening. Study design: We collected the data of the numbers of teachers, population size and newly confirmed COVID-19 cases in the past 14 days in typical provinces/cities of China, and then analyzed the risk of COVID-19 infections in schools with respect to each province/city. Methods: A step-by-step procedure was explored to calculate the probability of COVID-19 infections on students as transmitted from infected teachers. Two critical assumptions for analysis were proposed: (i) only locally generated cases were counted while imported cases were omitted; (ii) the secondary attack rate of the COVID-19 virus in schools is similar to that in households in China, ranging from 3-10%. Results: The probability of COVID-19 resurgence within one week on students of primary, middle and high schools in China (outside Hubei) is extremely low (<0.2%) in each province/city, and such probability can be updated daily and weekly based on the newly confirmed cases in the past 14 days. In some areas without newly confirmed cases in the past 14 days, the risk is zero. Conclusions: Our work provides guidance for local governments to make risk level-based policies for school reopening. Currently, the risk of COVID-19 infections on students is extremely low in China (outside Hubei) and therefore school reopening can be initiated without the endanger of infections on students.
has issue date	2020-04-07(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.04.04.20053645
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	bde55b7dd004dbe9406fb8289922dcaf27554164
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.04.20053645
resource representing a document's title	Little Risk of the COVID-19 Resurgence on Students in China (outside Hubei) Caused by School Reopening
resource representing a document's body	covid:bde55b7dd004dbe9406fb8289922dcaf27554164#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'infections' named entity 'CAUSED BY' named entity 'OUTBREAK' named entity 'STARTED' named entity 'CHINA' named entity 'RISK OF' named entity 'RESURGENCE' named entity 'OBJECTIVE' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'EVALUATE' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'SCHOOL' named entity 'LITTLE' named entity 'ENDING' named entity '4 5' named entity 'PAGE' named entity 'TITLE' named entity 'CAUSED BY' named entity 'DUE TO' named entity 'WHERE' named entity 'ABOUT' named entity 'CHINA' named entity 'INFECTIONS' named entity 'SCHOOL' named entity 'CONCERN' named entity 'RISK OF' named entity 'STUDENTS' named entity 'STUDENTS' named entity 'GREAT' named entity 'ATTEMPTED' named entity 'STAGE' named entity 'LARGELY' named entity 'students' named entity 'evaluate' named entity 'Objective' named entity 'School' named entity 'China' named entity 'Hubei' named entity 'COVID' named entity 'March 11' named entity 'COVID-19 virus' named entity 'Hubei' named entity 'Hubei' named entity 'Wuhan City' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'Hubei' named entity 'COVID' named entity 'Hubei Province' named entity 'coronavirus' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'COVID' named entity 'China' named entity 'China' named entity 'China' named entity 'China' named entity 'China' named entity 'China' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'COVID-19 outbreak' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'Title Page' named entity 'COVID-19 infections' named entity 'China' named entity 'COVID-19 infections' named entity 'students' named entity 'reached' named entity 'quantitatively' named entity 'great' named entity 'Title Page' named entity 'School' named entity 'Students' named entity 'Hubei' named entity 'Risk' named entity 'infections' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'China' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'Resurgence' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'China' named entity 'HUBEI'
is part of of	covid:bde55b7dd004dbe9406fb8289922dcaf27554164#body_text Objective: School reopening has not yet started in China where the COVID-19 outbreak has reached ending stage, largely due to a great concern about COVID-19 infections on students. We attempted to quantitatively evaluate the risk of COVID-19 infections on students caused by school reopening. Study design: We collected the data of the numbers of teachers, population size and newly confirmed COVID-19 cases in the past 14 days in typical provinces/cities of China, and then analyzed the risk of COVID-19 infections in schools with respect to each province/city. Methods: A step-by-step procedure was explored to calculate the probability of COVID-19 infections on students as transmitted from infected teachers. Two critical assumptions for analysis were proposed: (i) only locally generated cases were counted while imported cases were omitted; (ii) the secondary attack rate of the COVID-19 virus in schools is similar to that in households in China, ranging from 3-10%. Results: The probability of COVID-19 resurgence within one week on students of primary, middle and high schools in China (outside Hubei) is extremely low (<0.2%) in each province/city, and such probability can be updated daily and weekly based on the newly confirmed cases in the past 14 days. In some areas without newly confirmed cases in the past 14 days, the risk is zero. Conclusions: Our work provides guidance for local governments to make risk level-based policies for school reopening. Currently, the risk of COVID-19 infections on students is extremely low in China (outside Hubei) and therefore school reopening can be initiated without the endanger of infections on students.

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