About: COVID-19 and cataract surgery backlog in Medicare beneficiaries

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An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
title	COVID-19 and cataract surgery backlog in Medicare beneficiaries
Creator	Aggarwal, Shruti Jain, Amit Jain, Punya
source	Medline; PMC
abstract	PURPOSE: To forecast the volume of cataract surgery in Medicare beneficiaries in the United States in 2020 and to estimate the surgical backlog that may be created due to COVID-19. DESIGN: Epidemiologic modeling. METHODS: Baseline trends in cataract surgery among Medicare beneficiaries were assessed by querying the Medicare Part B Provider Utilization National Summary data. It was assumed that once the surgical deferment is over, there will be a ramp-up period; this was modeled using a stochastic Monte Carlo simulation. Total surgical backlog 2 years postsuspension was estimated. Sensitivity analyses were used to test model assumptions. RESULTS: Assuming cataract surgeries were to resume in May 2020, it would take 4 months under an optimistic scenario to revert to 90% of the expected pre-COVID forecasted volume. At 2-year postsuspension, the resulting backlog would be between 1.1 and 1.6 million cases. Sensitivity analyses revealed that a substantial surgical backlog would remain despite potentially lower surgical demand in the future. CONCLUSIONS: Suspension of elective cataract surgical care during the COVID-19 surge might have a lasting impact on ophthalmology and will likely result in a cataract surgical patient backlog. These data may aid physicians, payers, and policymakers in planning for postpandemic recovery.
has issue date	2020-07-17(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1097/j.jcrs.0000000000000337
bibo:pmid	32694309
has license	no-cc
sha1sum (hex)	b70580fa234119f324adabfb992bc4de35c3ba0e
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1097/j.jcrs.0000000000000337
resource representing a document's title	COVID-19 and cataract surgery backlog in Medicare beneficiaries
has PubMed Central identifier	PMC7416873
has PubMed identifier	32694309
schema:publication	J Cataract Refract Surg
resource representing a document's body	covid:b70580fa234119f324adabfb992bc4de35c3ba0e#body_text
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