About: Estimating critical care capacity needs and gaps in Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic

Facets (new session)
Description
Metadata
Settings
- owl:sameAs
- Inference Rule:

About: Estimating critical care capacity needs and gaps in Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	Estimating critical care capacity needs and gaps in Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic
Creator	Frost, Isabel Craig, Jessica Kalanxhi, Erta Gilbert Osena, ;
Source	MedRxiv
abstract	Objective The purpose of this analysis was to describe national critical care capacity shortages for 52 African countries and to outline needs for each country to adequately respond to the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods A modified SECIR compartment model was used to estimate the number of severe COVID-19 cases at the peak of the outbreak. Projections of the number of hospital beds, ICU beds, and ventilators needed at outbreak peak were generated for four scenarios (if 30, 50, 70, or 100% of patients with severe COVID-19 symptoms seek health services) assuming that all people with severe infections would require hospitalization, that 4.72% would require ICU admission, and that 2.3% would require mechanical ventilation. Findings Across the 52 countries included in this analysis, the average number of severe COVID-19 cases projected at outbreak peak was 138 per 100,000 (SD: 9.6). Comparing current national capacities to estimated needs at outbreak peak, we found that 31of 50 countries (62%) do not have a sufficient number of hospital beds per 100,000 people if 100% of patients with severe infections seek out health services and assuming that all hospital beds are empty and available for use by patients with COVID-19. If only 30% of patients seek out health services then 10 of 50 countries (20%) do not have sufficient hospital bed capacity. The average number of ICU beds needed at outbreak peak across the 52 included countries ranged from 2 per 100,000 people (SD: 0.1) when 30% of people with severe COVID-19 infections access health services to 6.5 per 100,000 (SD: 0.5) assuming 100% of people seek out health services. Even if only 30% of severely infected patients seek health services at outbreak peak, then 34 of 48 countries (71%) do not have a sufficient number of ICU beds per 100,000 people to handle projected need. Only four countries (Cabo Verde, Egypt, Gabon, and South Africa) have a sufficient number of ventilators to meet projected national needs if 100% of severely infected individuals seek health services assuming all ventilators are functioning and available for COVID-19 patients, while 35 other countries require two or more additional ventilators per 100,000 people.
has issue date	2020-06-04(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1101/2020.06.02.20120147
has license	medrxiv
sha1sum (hex)	98a8a43a16dfbdef7de9abad7f17281495bb0900
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.02.20120147
resource representing a document's title	Estimating critical care capacity needs and gaps in Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic
resource representing a document's body	covid:98a8a43a16dfbdef7de9abad7f17281495bb0900#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'NEEDS' covid:arg/98a8a43a16dfbdef7de9abad7f17281495bb0900 named entity 'pandemic' named entity 'African' named entity 'critical care' named entity 'mechanical ventilation' named entity 'public health' named entity 'ICU' named entity 'health systems' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'Critical care' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'Senegal' named entity 'Africa' named entity 'Niger' named entity 'reproductive number' named entity 'CC-BY-ND' named entity 'COVID-19 pandemic' named entity '12,000' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'public health' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'health services' named entity 'disease transmission' named entity 'World Health Organization' named entity 'Seychelles' named entity 'Republic of the Congo' named entity 'ICU' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'Benin' named entity 'Egypt' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'national health' named entity 'Africa' named entity 'ICU beds' named entity 'critical care' named entity 'healthcare workers' named entity 'critical care' named entity 'ICU beds' named entity 'health services' named entity 'risk factor' named entity 'comorbidities' named entity 'Standard Deviation' named entity 'Niger' named entity 'ICU beds' named entity 'ICU' named entity 'Madagascar' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'critical care' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'March 2020' named entity 'Cameroon' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'Egypt' named entity 'critical care' named entity 'Malawi' named entity 'Africa' named entity 'Equatorial Guinea' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'intensive care unit' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'medRxiv' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'COVID-19 pandemic' named entity 'critical care' named entity 'ICU' named entity 'high-income countries' named entity 'ICU beds' named entity 'Comoros' named entity 'CC-BY-ND' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'critical care' named entity 'ICU beds' named entity 'critical care' named entity 'COVID-19' named entity 'CC-BY-ND' named entity 'Mauritania' named entity 'public sector'

Faceted Search & Find service v1.13.91 as of Mar 24 2020

Alternative Linked Data Documents: Sponger | ODE Content Formats:

RDF

ODATA

Microdata

About

OpenLink Virtuoso version 07.20.3229 as of Jul 10 2020, on Linux (x86_64-pc-linux-gnu), Single-Server Edition (94 GB total memory)
Data on this page belongs to its respective rights holders.
Virtuoso Faceted Browser Copyright © 2009-2024 OpenLink Software