About: Epidemiological characteristics and transmissibility of shigellosis in Hubei Province, China, 2005

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About: Epidemiological characteristics and transmissibility of shigellosis in Hubei Province, China, 2005 – 2017 Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	Epidemiological characteristics and transmissibility of shigellosis in Hubei Province, China, 2005 – 2017
Creator	Chen, Qi Hu, Qingqing Guan, Xuhua Tong, Yeqing Wu, Yang Peng, Ying Chen, Tianmu Zhao, Benhua Zhang, Hao Rui, Jia Zhao, Zeyu Su, Yanhua
Source	PMC
abstract	BACKGROUND: Shigellosis is one of the main diarrhea diseases in developing countries. However, the transmissibility of shigellosis remains unclear. METHODS: We used the dataset of shigellosis cases reported between January 2005 and December 2017, from Hubei Province, China. A mathematical model was developed based on the natural history and the transmission mechanism of the disease. By fitting the data using the model, transmission relative rate from person to person (b) and from reservoir to person (b(w)), and the effective reproduction number (R(eff)) were estimated. To simulate the contribution of b and b(w) during the transmission, we performed a “knock-out” simulation in four scenarios: A) b = 0 and b(w) = 0; B) b = 0; C) b(w) = 0; D) control (no intervention). RESULTS: A total of 130,770 shigellosis cases were reported in Hubei province, among which 13 cases were dead. The median annual incidence was 19.96 per 100,000 persons (range: 5.99 per 100,000 persons – 29.47 per 100,000 persons) with a decreased trend (trend χ(2) = 25,470.27, P < 0.001). The mean values of b and b(w) were 0.0898 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.0851–0.0946) and 1.1264 × 10(− 9) (95% CI: 4.1123 × 10(− 10)–1.8416 × 10(− 9)), respectively. The “knock-out” simulation showed that the number of cases simulated by scenario A was almost the same as scenario B, and scenario C was almost the same as scenario D. The mean value of R(eff) of shigellosis was 1.19 (95% CI: 1.13–1.25) and decreased slightly with a Linear model until it decreased to an epidemic threshold of 0.99 (95% CI: 0.65–1.34) in 2029. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of shigellosis is still in high level. The transmissibility of the disease is low in Hubei Province. The transmission would be interrupted in the year of 2029.
has issue date	2020-04-07(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1186/s12879-020-04976-x
has license	cc-by
sha1sum (hex)	699071766da4f82ab66f8c132275b021c46cac72
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-020-04976-x
resource representing a document's title	Epidemiological characteristics and transmissibility of shigellosis in Hubei Province, China, 2005 – 2017
has PubMed Central identifier	PMC7136996
schema:publication	BMC Infect Dis
resource representing a document's body	covid:699071766da4f82ab66f8c132275b021c46cac72#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'transmission mechanism' named entity '2005' named entity 'Methods' named entity 'cases' covid:arg/699071766da4f82ab66f8c132275b021c46cac72 named entity 'However' named entity 'mathematical model' named entity 'China' named entity 'transmission' named entity 'reservoir' named entity 'diarrhea' named entity 'person' named entity 'person' named entity 'reported' named entity 'shigellosis' named entity 'Shigellosis' named entity 'transmissibility' named entity 'Hubei Province' named entity 'asymptomatic' named entity '400 million' named entity 'Han River' named entity 'shigellosis' named entity 'Wuhan City' named entity 'Confidence interval' named entity 'infectious dose' named entity 'shigellosis' named entity 'Yichang City' named entity 'transmissibility' named entity 'orders of magnitude' named entity 'severe colitis' named entity 'Shigellosis' named entity 'shigellosis' named entity 'Shigellosis' named entity 'Wuhan City' named entity 'Shigellosis' named entity 'Ebola virus disease' named entity 'shigellosis' named entity 'amoebic dysentery' named entity 'norovirus' named entity 'Shigellosis' named entity 'Shigella' named entity 'China' named entity 'Hubei Province' named entity 'Gramnegative' named entity 'statistical model' named entity 'pathogen' named entity 'transmissibility' named entity 'Xiantao' named entity 'China' named entity 'infection' named entity '58 million' named entity 'shigellosis' named entity 'shigellosis' named entity 'developing countries' named entity 'case fatality rate' named entity 'disease prevention and control' named entity 'National Health Commission' named entity '1, 2' named entity 'China' named entity 'infectious disease' named entity 'Shigellosis' named entity 'transmissibility' named entity 'die-off' named entity 'infectious diseases' named entity 'sanitation' named entity 'effective reproduction number' named entity 'shigellosis' named entity 'Yangtze River' named entity 'asymptomatic' named entity '95% CI' named entity 'asymptomatic' named entity 'asymptomatic infection'

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