About: Application of a quantitative entry assessment model to compare the relative risk of incursion of zoonotic bat-borne viruses into European Union Member States

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About: Application of a quantitative entry assessment model to compare the relative risk of incursion of zoonotic bat-borne viruses into European Union Member States Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

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type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	Application of a quantitative entry assessment model to compare the relative risk of incursion of zoonotic bat-borne viruses into European Union Member States
Creator	Gale, Paul Horigan, Verity Minnis, Christopher Breed, Andrew Kosmider, Rowena Simons, Robin Snary, Emma
Source	Elsevier; Medline; PMC
abstract	This paper presents a quantitative assessment model for the risk of entry of zoonotic bat-borne viruses into the European Union (EU). The model considers four routes of introduction: human travel, legal trade of products, live animal imports and illegal import of bushmeat and was applied to five virus outbreak scenarios. Two scenarios were considered for Zaire ebolavirus (wEBOV, cEBOV) and other scenarios for Hendra virus, Marburg virus (MARV) and Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS-CoV). The use of the same framework and generic data sources for all EU Member States (MS) allows for a relative comparison of the probability of virus introduction and of the importance of the routes of introduction among MSs. According to the model wEBOV posed the highest risk of an introduction event within the EU, followed by MARV and MERS-CoV. However, the main route of introduction differed, with wEBOV and MERS-CoV most likely through human travel and MARV through legal trade of foodstuffs. The relative risks to EU MSs as entry points also varied between outbreak scenarios, highlighting the heterogeneity in global trade and travel to the EU MSs. The model has the capability to allow for a continual updating of the risk estimate using new data as, and when, it becomes available. The model provides an horizon scanning tool for use when available data are limited and, therefore, the absolute risk estimates often have high uncertainty. Sensitivity analysis suggested virus prevalence in bats has a large influence on the results; a 90% reduction in prevalence reduced the risk of introduction considerably and resulted in the relative ranking of MARV falling below that for MERS-CoV, due to this parameter disproportionately affecting the risk of introduction from the trade route over human travel.
has issue date	2017-10-02(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1016/j.mran.2017.09.002
bibo:pmid	32289058
has license	no-cc
sha1sum (hex)	57a50193c033b31f92a1980e80b769eaa4a5d710
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mran.2017.09.002
resource representing a document's title	Application of a quantitative entry assessment model to compare the relative risk of incursion of zoonotic bat-borne viruses into European Union Member States
has PubMed Central identifier	PMC7103962
has PubMed identifier	32289058
schema:publication	Microb Risk Anal
resource representing a document's body	covid:57a50193c033b31f92a1980e80b769eaa4a5d710#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'BAT' named entity 'BORNE' named entity 'MODEL' named entity 'MEMBER' named entity 'ASSESSMENT' named entity 'RELATIVE RISK' named entity 'VIRUSES' named entity 'STATES' named entity 'ENTRY' named entity 'TO COMPARE' named entity 'RISK OF' named entity 'EUROPEAN UNION' named entity 'ZOONOTIC' named entity 'QUANTITATIVE' named entity 'APPLICATION' named entity 'EBOV' named entity 'MERS-CoV' named entity 'scenario analysis' named entity 'bushmeat' named entity 'NHP' named entity 'EBOV' named entity 'Queensland' named entity '21 days' named entity '5.5' named entity 'infection' named entity 'Europe' named entity 'Queensland' named entity 'Arabian Peninsula' named entity 'Africa' named entity 'EBOV' named entity 'zoonotic diseases' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'half-life' named entity 'foetus' named entity 'EBOV' named entity 'outbreak of MERS' named entity 'saliva' named entity 'median lethal dose' named entity 'MERS-CoV' named entity 'viral load' named entity 'Duikers' named entity 'EBOV' named entity 'bat' named entity 'route of transmission' named entity 'MERS-CoV' named entity 'relative risk' named entity 'Italy' named entity 'infection' named entity 'evidence of absence' named entity 'Kenya' named entity 'pathogens' named entity 'member virus' named entity 'bodily fluids' named entity 'bushmeat' named entity 'ports of entry' named entity 'Hendra virus' named entity 'bushmeat' named entity 'Bat' named entity 'Hendra' named entity 'gastrointestinal symptoms' named entity 'fruit bat' named entity 'MERS' named entity 'urine' named entity 'pathology' named entity 'EBOV' named entity 'live animal' named entity 'bushmeat' named entity 'clinical signs' named entity 'bushmeat' named entity 'Chaber' named entity 'France' named entity 'West Africa outbreak' named entity 'risk factors' named entity 'viral RNA' named entity 'incubation period'

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