About: On epidemic modeling in real time: An application to the 2009 Novel A (H1N1) influenza outbreak in Canada

Facets (new session)
Description
Metadata
Settings
- owl:sameAs
- Inference Rule:

About: On epidemic modeling in real time: An application to the 2009 Novel A (H1N1) influenza outbreak in Canada Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	On epidemic modeling in real time: An application to the 2009 Novel A (H1N1) influenza outbreak in Canada
Creator	Fisman, David Wu, Jianhong Hsieh, Ying-Hen
Source	PMC
abstract	BACKGROUND: Management of emerging infectious diseases such as the 2009 influenza pandemic A (H1N1) poses great challenges for real-time mathematical modeling of disease transmission due to limited information on disease natural history and epidemiology, stochastic variation in the course of epidemics, and changing case definitions and surveillance practices. FINDINGS: The Richards model and its variants are used to fit the cumulative epidemic curve for laboratory-confirmed pandemic H1N1 (pH1N1) infections in Canada, made available by the Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC). The model is used to obtain estimates for turning points in the initial outbreak, the basic reproductive number (R(0)), and for expected final outbreak size in the absence of interventions. Confirmed case data were used to construct a best-fit 2-phase model with three turning points. R(0 )was estimated to be 1.30 (95% CI 1.12-1.47) for the first phase (April 1 to May 4) and 1.35 (95% CI 1.16-1.54) for the second phase (May 4 to June 19). Hospitalization data were also used to fit a 1-phase model with R(0 )= 1.35 (1.20-1.49) and a single turning point of June 11. CONCLUSIONS: Application of the Richards model to Canadian pH1N1 data shows that detection of turning points is affected by the quality of data available at the time of data usage. Using a Richards model, robust estimates of R(0 )were obtained approximately one month after the initial outbreak in the case of 2009 A (H1N1) in Canada.
has issue date	2010-11-05(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.1186/1756-0500-3-283
bibo:pmid	21050494
has license	cc-by
sha1sum (hex)	23372fae9cc1e03d11351e3ddb52036e1d378c40
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.1186/1756-0500-3-283
resource representing a document's title	On epidemic modeling in real time: An application to the 2009 Novel A (H1N1) influenza outbreak in Canada
has PubMed Central identifier	PMC2989981
has PubMed identifier	21050494
schema:publication	BMC Res Notes
resource representing a document's body	covid:23372fae9cc1e03d11351e3ddb52036e1d378c40#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity '2009 influenza pandemic' named entity 'May' named entity 'pandemic' named entity 'detection' named entity 'initial' named entity 'Canada' named entity 'FINDINGS' named entity 'PHASE' named entity 'FINAL' named entity 'APPROXIMATELY' named entity 'BASIC' named entity 'OBTAIN' named entity 'CHALLENGES' named entity 'ROBUST' named entity 'Background' named entity 'Canada' named entity 'natural' named entity 'H1N1' named entity 'time' named entity 'Canada' named entity 'phase' named entity 'real time' named entity 'mathematical modeling' named entity '2009 influenza pandemic' named entity 'epidemiology' named entity 'reproductive number' named entity 'H1N1' named entity 'pH1N1' named entity 'quality of data' named entity 'Canada' named entity 'H1N1' named entity 'Canadian' named entity '2009' named entity 'outbreak in Canada' named entity 'virus' named entity 'Akaike information criterion' named entity 'epidemic curve' named entity 'public health' named entity 'Ontario' named entity 'missing data' named entity 'epidemic' named entity '1/3' named entity 'epidemiological' named entity 'Canada' named entity 'Canada' named entity 'basic reproduction number' named entity 'epidemiology' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'epidemiological' named entity 'epidemiology' named entity 'time series' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'mathematical modeling' named entity 'infection' named entity 'disease control' named entity 'epidemiological' named entity 'basic reproduction number' named entity 'compartmental models' named entity 'Public Health Agency of Canada' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'June 3' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'time series' named entity 'PHAC' named entity 'Canadian' named entity 'influenza' named entity 'generation time' named entity '95% CI' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'H5N1' named entity 'H1N1' named entity 'Ontario' named entity 'epidemiologic' named entity 'PHAC' named entity 'PHAC' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'reproductive number' named entity 'pathogen'

Faceted Search & Find service v1.13.91 as of Mar 24 2020

Alternative Linked Data Documents: Sponger | ODE Content Formats:

RDF

ODATA

Microdata

About

OpenLink Virtuoso version 07.20.3229 as of Jul 10 2020, on Linux (x86_64-pc-linux-gnu), Single-Server Edition (94 GB total memory)
Data on this page belongs to its respective rights holders.
Virtuoso Faceted Browser Copyright © 2009-2024 OpenLink Software