About: Estimating the Risk of COVID-19 Death during the Course of the Outbreak in Korea, February

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About: Estimating the Risk of COVID-19 Death during the Course of the Outbreak in Korea, February–May 2020 Goto Sponge NotDistinct Permalink

An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	Estimating the Risk of COVID-19 Death during the Course of the Outbreak in Korea, February–May 2020
Creator	Mizumoto, Kenji Chowell, Gerardo Shim, Eunha Choi, Wongyeong
Source	Medline; PMC
abstract	Background: In Korea, a total of 10,840 confirmed cases of COVID-19 including 256 deaths have been recorded as of May 9, 2020. The time-delay adjusted case fatality risk (CFR) of COVID-19 in Korea is yet to be estimated. Methods: We obtained the daily series of confirmed cases and deaths in Korea reported prior to May 9, 2020. Using statistical methods, we estimated the time-delay adjusted risk for death from COVID-19 in Daegu, Gyeongsangbuk-do, other regions in Korea, as well as the entire country. Results: Our model-based crude CFR fitted the observed data well throughout the course of the epidemic except for the very early stage in Gyeongsangbuk-do; this was partially due to the reporting delay. Our estimates of the risk of death in Gyeongsangbuk-do reached 25.9% (95% Credible Interval (CrI): 19.6%–33.6%), 20.8% (95% CrI: 18.1%–24.0%) in Daegu, and 1.7% (95% CrI: 1.1%–2.5%) in other regions, whereas the national estimate was 10.2% (95% CrI: 9.0%–11.5%). Conclusions: The latest estimates of CFR of COVID-19 in Korea are considerably high, even with the early implementation of public health interventions including widespread testing, social distancing, and delayed school openings. Geographic differences in the CFR are likely influenced by clusters tied to hospitals and nursing homes.
has issue date	2020-05-29(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.3390/jcm9061641
bibo:pmid	32485871
has license	cc-by
sha1sum (hex)	d88344d4376e874be88e0d04301c5fa8613cc13f
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm9061641
resource representing a document's title	Estimating the Risk of COVID-19 Death during the Course of the Outbreak in Korea, February–May 2020
has PubMed Central identifier	PMC7356403
has PubMed identifier	32485871
schema:publication	J Clin Med
resource representing a document's body	covid:d88344d4376e874be88e0d04301c5fa8613cc13f#body_text
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