About: Planning horizon affects prophylactic decision-making and epidemic dynamics

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An Entity of Type : schema:ScholarlyArticle, within Data Space : covidontheweb.inria.fr associated with source document(s)

Attributes	Values
type	Academic Article research paper schema:ScholarlyArticle
isDefinedBy	Covid-on-the-Web dataset
has title	Planning horizon affects prophylactic decision-making and epidemic dynamics
Creator	Joyce, Paul Miller, Craig Baumgaertner, Bert Krone, Stephen Nardin, Luis Ridenhour, Benjamin Perez-Acle, Tomas
Source	Medline; PMC
abstract	The spread of infectious diseases can be impacted by human behavior, and behavioral decisions often depend implicitly on a planning horizon—the time in the future over which options are weighed. We investigate the effects of planning horizons on epidemic dynamics. We developed an epidemiological agent-based model (along with an ODE analog) to explore the decision-making of self-interested individuals on adopting prophylactic behavior. The decision-making process incorporates prophylaxis efficacy and disease prevalence with the individuals’ payoffs and planning horizon. Our results show that for short and long planning horizons individuals do not consider engaging in prophylactic behavior. In contrast, individuals adopt prophylactic behavior when considering intermediate planning horizons. Such adoption, however, is not always monotonically associated with the prevalence of the disease, depending on the perceived protection efficacy and the disease parameters. Adoption of prophylactic behavior reduces the epidemic peak size while prolonging the epidemic and potentially generates secondary waves of infection. These effects can be made stronger by increasing the behavioral decision frequency or distorting an individual’s perceived risk of infection.
has issue date	2016-11-08(xsd:dateTime)
bibo:doi	10.7717/peerj.2678
bibo:pmid	27843714
has license	cc-by
schema:url	https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.2678
resource representing a document's title	Planning horizon affects prophylactic decision-making and epidemic dynamics
has PubMed Central identifier	PMC5103819
has PubMed identifier	27843714
schema:publication	PeerJ
resource representing a document's body	covid:PMC5103819#body_text
is schema:about of	named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'public policies' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'prophylactic' named entity 'infection' named entity 'decision making process' named entity 'prophylactic' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'numerical analysis' named entity 'SPIR' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'prophylactic' named entity 'risk perception' named entity 'parameter space' named entity 'disease prevalence' named entity 'planning horizon' named entity 'prophylactic' named entity 'prophylactic' named entity 'randomly selected' named entity 'prophylactic' named entity '0.01' named entity 'Prophylactic' named entity 'risk perception' named entity 'epidemiology' named entity 'prophylactic' named entity 'epidemiological model' named entity 'Gillespie algorithm' named entity 'planning horizon' named entity 'decision-making processes' named entity 'prophylactic' named entity 'prophylactic' named entity 'risk perception' named entity 'prophylactic' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'epidemiological modeling' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'SPIR' named entity 'geometric distribution' named entity 'prophylactic' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'disease prevalence' named entity 'decision model' named entity 'probability' named entity 'Human behavior' named entity 'prophylactic' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'prophylactic' named entity 'planning horizon' named entity 'prophylaxis' named entity 'ibX' named entity 'disease prevalence' named entity 'epidemics' named entity 'risk-averse' named entity 'risk perception' named entity 'status quo' named entity 'Prophylactic' named entity 'biological models' named entity 'epidemiology' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'prophylactic' named entity 'Prophylactic' named entity 'infectious agents' named entity 'infectious disease' named entity 'infectious agents' named entity 'epidemic' named entity 'prophylactic' named entity 'agent-based' named entity 'prophylactic' named entity 'prophylactic' named entity 'planning horizon' named entity 'human behavior' named entity 'prophylactic'

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